How Regulatory Burdens and Misguided Incentives Are Degrading Power System Reliability
It’s no secret that the U.S. electric power system has undergone a remarkable transition that continues today. Coal-fired generation, which was the leading source of power generation during the 20th century, often providing more than half of the country’s electricity supply, fell to about 16.2% of the mix in 2023. Meanwhile, the U.S. solar market installed 32.4 GWdc of electricity-generation capacity last year, a 51% increase from 2022, and the industry’s biggest year by far, exceeding the 30-GWdc threshold for the first time. Solar accounted for 53% of all new electricity-generating capacity added to the U.S. grid in 2023, far greater than natural gas and wind, which were second and third on the list, accounting for 18% and 13% of new additions, respectively.
But, how is the shift in resources affecting power system reliability? Some experts say it’s not good. “We’ve got a lot of warning lights that appear to be flashing today,” Todd Snitchler, president and CEO of the Electric Power Supply Association (EPSA), said as a guest on The POWER Podcast. “I say that not just from our perspective, but from NERC [the North American Electric Reliability Corp.]—the reliability coordinator—or from FERC [the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission], who has also expressed concerns, and all of the grid operators around the country have raised concerns about the pace of the energy transition.”
EPSA is the national trade association representing America’s competitive power suppliers. It believes strongly in the value of competition and the benefits competitive markets provide to power customers. “Our members have every incentive to be the least-cost, most-reliable option that’s available, because if you are that resource, you’re going to be the resource that’s selected to run,” said Snitchler.
Yet, not all markets are providing a level playing field, according to Snitchler. “The challenge we’re seeing is that there are a number of resources that are either having regulatory burdens that are placed on them that make them less competitive in comparison to resources that are not facing the same challenges, or there are resources that are highly subsidized, and as a result of those subsidies, it creates an economic disadvantage to unsubsidized resources, and that puts economic pressure on units that would otherwise be able to run and would earn a sufficient amount of revenue to remain on the system,” he explained.
“We’re also seeing a pretty significant acceleration in retirements off of the system of dispatchable resources,” Snitchler continued. “What does that mean? So, of course, it means the coal plants that have been on the system for decades, as a result of economics and environmental policies, are retiring and moving off of the system. You’re seeing some of the older gas units experience the same kind of financial and regulatory pressures, and that is forcing some of them off of the system. And we’re seeing a large penetration of new renewable resources come onto the system that, frankly, are good energy resources, but don’t have the same performance characteristics that the dispatchable resources have.
“And so, we’re having to fill a gap, or as I call it, the delta between aspirational policy goals and operational realities of the system, because too much retirement of dispatchable resources without sufficient resources that can replicate or deliver the same types of services that those dispatchable resources can provide, creates reliability concerns,” said Snitchler.
EPSA is encouraging lawmakers to act. “There’s a clear need for permitting and siting reform,” Snitchler said. “I say that because you’re going to need to be able to accelerate deployment of all types of resources, whether it’s renewable resources and the transmission infrastructure that is needed to move the electrons from where they’re generated to where they’re going to be needed. As well as on the other side of the equation, there’s a need for more pipeline infrastructure to address gas-electric coordination issues.
“As well as the fact that even in a highly renewable penetration scenario, there is still going to be a substantial need for natural gas–fired or other dispatchable generation that can respond quickly and fill the gaps when we don’t have the access to the energy provided by wind and solar, because perhaps the wind isn’t blowing or the sun’s not shining or you have a peak demand event and you really need every electron you can get. You’re going to need those dispatchable resources in order to ensure system reliability,” he said.
Still, Snitchler said solving the problem does not just come down to adding wires and pipes, or getting certain projects approved; it means taking an all-of-the-above approach to keep the system reliable and affordable. He also said it requires acknowledging reality. “It’s going to mean the retention of and addition of new dispatchable resources—primarily gas because of its performance characteristics—in order to ensure that that can happen in a way that is reliable,” he said.
To hear the full interview with Snitchler, which contains more about EPSA, energy policy, load growth, impacts of environmental regulations, the benefits of competitive markets, work EPSA is doing in collaboration with natural gas associations, and more, listen to The POWER Podcast. Click on the SoundCloud player below to listen in your browser now or use the following links to reach the show page on your favorite podcast platform:
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—Aaron Larson is POWER’s executive editor (@AaronL_Power, @POWERmagazine).